Disaster Register

Register · Events

How Hurricane Otis intensified on its approach to Acapulco

The National Hurricane Center’s reconstruction places Hurricane Otis at 55 knots at 06:00 UTC on 24 October 2023 and at 145 knots 21 hours later. It reached Acapulco at about 06:45 UTC on 25 October as a Category 5 hurricane with estimated maximum winds of 140 knots.

Sources checked

Hurricane Otis from the eastern Pacific to southern MexicoSelected positions from the Hurricane Otis best track
Selected positions from the Hurricane Otis best track
  1. 22 Oct 12:0030 knots
  2. 23 Oct 06:0035 knots
  3. 23 Oct 18:0045 knots
  4. 24 Oct 06:0055 knots
  5. 24 Oct 18:00100 knots
  6. 25 Oct 03:00145 knots
  7. 25 Oct 18:0040 knots

Natural Earth land outlines and dashed land boundaries.

The line connects selected storm-centre estimates in time order. Marker 7 is the Acapulco landfall. The key gives the wind estimate at each position.

Source 1 Source 2

The strongest winds developed offshore

Table 1 puts Otis at 55 knots on the morning of 24 October UTC. The report estimates that the storm reached hurricane strength by 12:00 UTC and 100 knots by 18:00 UTC. The first 145-knot estimate came at 03:00 UTC the next day, 21 hours after the 55-knot estimate. Source 1 Source 2

Peak intensity and landfall are separate records

The NHC estimates maximum winds of 145 knots from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC. At 06:45 UTC it places the centre at 16.8°N, 99.9°W, with a landfall intensity of 140 knots and central pressure of 929 millibars. The chart’s landfall marker uses that record. Source 1 Source 2

How the centre and winds were reconstructed

The NHC combined satellite imagery and estimates with aircraft observations. A Hurricane Hunters flight provided two centre fixes on 24 October, and the report used satellite estimates for the peak near the coast. The published best track is the centre’s estimated position and intensity after reviewing those observations. Source 2

The storm weakened quickly inland

By 12:00 UTC on 25 October, the best track gives 85 knots and a central pressure of 980 millibars. At 18:00 UTC it gives 40 knots, placing Otis at tropical storm strength. The NHC reports that it dissipated later that day. Source 1 Source 2

Compare the measurements on their own terms

Wind and central pressure describe the whole storm’s estimated intensity at each time. The report lists ground-station observations separately. The map shows the centre’s path, while the station table in the report records conditions measured at particular places. Source 2 Source 1

Sources

Open the data and source notes